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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Peterborough United

Burton Albion
1 - 3
Peterborough

Ola-Adebomi (70')
Oshilaja (46'), Hamer (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jade-Jones (56'), Knight (88'), Clarke-Harris (90+6')
Katongo (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 0-3 Peterborough United

Burton Albion are struggling going forward in recent weeks, while their visitors are certainly not experiencing such difficulties, and with momentum back on their side, we can only envisage another dominant triumph for Peterborough United on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.06%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawPeterborough United
16.62% (-0.164 -0.16) 21.38% (-0.1 -0.1) 62% (0.273 0.27)
Both teams to score 50.64% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.99% (0.146 0.15)46.01% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.69% (0.137 0.14)68.32% (-0.128 -0.13)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.08% (-0.12 -0.12)40.92% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (-0.107 -0.11)77.49% (0.116 0.12)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72% (0.137 0.14)14.29% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.92% (0.256 0.26)42.08% (-0.248 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 16.62%
    Peterborough United 61.99%
    Draw 21.38%
Burton AlbionDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 5.22% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-1 @ 4.54% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.33% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 16.62%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 21.38%
0-1 @ 11.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 11.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 7.18% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 6.42% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 3.49% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.12% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.36% (0.023 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.21% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 61.99%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Peterborough

Burton Albion
30.0%
Draw
20.0%
Peterborough United
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Peterborough
4-0
Burton Albion
Randall (6'), Mason-Clark (44'), Stockton (61' og.), Poku (66')
Jade-Jones (52')

Helm (9'), Oshilaja (37'), Stockton (54')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Burton Albion
2-5
Peterborough
Powell (28'), Smith (54')
Clarke-Harris (12', 51'), Mason-Clark (19'), Burrows (38'), Ward (64')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Burton Albion
2-1
Peterborough
Hemmings (54'), Carter (58')
Smith (6'), Brayford (68'), Carter (90+3')
Burrows (90+4')
Beevers (57')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Peterborough
2-2
Burton Albion
Clarke-Harris (10'), Ward (48')
Mason (89')
Hemmings (32', 60')
Gilligan (58'), Akins (62'), O'Toole (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020


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