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Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Exeter City

Peterborough
2 - 1
Exeter

Mason-Clark (4'), Poku (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carroll (36')
Harper (39'), Purrington (62'), Harris (84'), Rankine (85'), Niskanen (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Exeter City

Back-to-back away wins have allowed Peterborough to click into their playoff-clinching rhythm once again, meaning that the Posh should be confident of earning three points on Saturday. Exeter have only managed an uninspiring point against strugglers Fleetwood during their last three matches, and we believe that the Grecians' poor form will continue at Weston Homes Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 14.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawExeter City
66.56% (0.346 0.35) 18.47% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 14.96% (-0.257 -0.26)
Both teams to score 56.85% (-0.341 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.07% (-0.127 -0.13)35.93% (0.128 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.98% (-0.141 -0.14)58.02% (0.142 0.14)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.99% (0.049999999999997 0.05)10.01% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.95% (0.113 0.11)33.05% (-0.111 -0.11)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.18% (-0.413 -0.41)36.82% (0.415 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.39% (-0.413 -0.41)73.6% (0.413 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 66.56%
    Exeter City 14.96%
    Draw 18.47%
Peterborough UnitedDrawExeter City
2-0 @ 9.76% (0.104 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.48% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 7.49% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.31% (0.063999999999999 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.31% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.98% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.98% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 66.56%
1-1 @ 8.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.69% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.47%
1-2 @ 4.23% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-1 @ 3.68% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.84% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 14.96%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Exeter

Peterborough United
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Exeter City
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Exeter
2-1
Peterborough
Cole (75'), Katongo (80' og.)
Niskanen (9')
Burrows (32' pen.)
Olakigbe (36'), Knight (90+5')
Olakigbe (55')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Peterborough
3-1
Exeter
Hartridge (8' og.), Mason-Clark (41'), Clarke-Harris (70')
Harper (46')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Exeter
3-2
Peterborough
Dieng (28'), Nombe (86'), Brown (90+1')
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-2
Peterborough

Ogbene (60'), Oates (84')
Toney (67'), Cummings (77')
Toney (60'), Maddison (70'), Woodyard (86')
Nov 9, 2013 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020


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