League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Exeter City
Back-to-back away wins have allowed Peterborough to click into their playoff-clinching rhythm once again, meaning that the Posh should be confident of earning three points on Saturday.
Exeter have only managed an uninspiring point against strugglers Fleetwood during their last three matches, and we believe that the Grecians' poor form will continue at Weston Homes Stadium.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 66.56% . A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 14.96% .
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.76% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.48%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%) , while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (4.23%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result Peterborough United Draw Exeter City 66.56% ( 0.35) 18.47% ( -0.09) 14.96% ( -0.26)
Both teams to score 56.85% ( -0.34)
64.07% ( -0.13) 35.93% ( 0.13)
41.98% ( -0.14) 58.02% ( 0.14)
Peterborough United Goals
89.99% ( 0.05) 10.01% ( -0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 66.95% ( 0.11) 33.05% ( -0.11)
63.18% ( -0.41) 36.82% ( 0.41)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.39% ( -0.41) 73.6% ( 0.41)
Peterborough United 66.56%
Exeter City 14.96%
Draw 18.47%
Peterborough United Draw Exeter City 2-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.13% Total : 66.56% 1-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.47% 1-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.17% Total : 14.96%
How you voted: Peterborough vs Exeter
Peterborough United
Draw
Exeter City
9
rhs 2.0
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