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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Exeter City |
44.06% ( -0.06) | 24.87% ( 0) | 31.06% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 56.67% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.59% ( 0.02) | 46.41% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.3% ( 0.02) | 68.69% ( -0.02) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.89% ( -0.02) | 21.11% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.06% ( -0.03) | 53.94% ( 0.03) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.83% ( 0.05) | 28.17% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.14% ( 0.06) | 63.86% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 44.06% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 29 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 11 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 13 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 5 |
> League One Full Table |