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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 18
Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Peterborough United

Exeter
2 - 1
Peterborough

Cole (75'), Katongo (80' og.)
Niskanen (9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burrows (32' pen.)
Olakigbe (36'), Knight (90+5')
Olakigbe (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Exeter City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 0-2 Peterborough United

This is a tough ask for Exeter against a talented Peterborough outfit. The home side are capable of making it a frustrating evening for Ferguson's team, but we are expecting the visitors to navigate their way to an important three points in Tuesday night's affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 20.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Exeter City win it was 2-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
20.44% (-1.481 -1.48) 22.02% (-0.38 -0.38) 57.55% (1.866 1.87)
Both teams to score 55.64% (-0.944 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.14% (-0.198 -0.2)42.86% (0.205 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.74% (-0.197 -0.2)65.26% (0.20299999999999 0.2)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19% (-1.528 -1.53)34.81% (1.534 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.46% (-1.648 -1.65)71.54% (1.652 1.65)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (0.542 0.54)14.65% (-0.537 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.22% (1.029 1.03)42.78% (-1.024 -1.02)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 20.44%
    Peterborough United 57.55%
    Draw 22.01%
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 5.45% (-0.313 -0.31)
1-0 @ 5.38% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-0 @ 2.84% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-0 @ 1% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 20.44%
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.01%
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.27 0.27)
0-2 @ 9.41% (0.431 0.43)
1-3 @ 6.36% (0.151 0.15)
0-3 @ 6.02% (0.384 0.38)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.05% (0.128 0.13)
0-4 @ 2.89% (0.235 0.24)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.17% (0.071 0.07)
0-5 @ 1.11% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 57.55%

How you voted: Exeter vs Peterborough

Exeter City
18.5%
Draw
7.4%
Peterborough United
74.1%
27
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Peterborough
3-1
Exeter
Hartridge (8' og.), Mason-Clark (41'), Clarke-Harris (70')
Harper (46')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Exeter
3-2
Peterborough
Dieng (28'), Nombe (86'), Brown (90+1')
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-2
Peterborough

Ogbene (60'), Oates (84')
Toney (67'), Cummings (77')
Toney (60'), Maddison (70'), Woodyard (86')
Nov 9, 2013 3pm
Mar 5, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020


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