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League One
Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Exeter City

Peterborough
3 - 1
Exeter

Hartridge (8' og.), Mason-Clark (41'), Clarke-Harris (70')
Kyprianou (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Harper (46')
Kite (5'), Caldwell (6'), Harper (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Peterborough
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Bolton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 3-1 Exeter City

 With so much left to play for, Peterborough will need no further incentive to grab this game by the scruff of the neck. We are backing the hosts to dominate proceedings and get the job done in relatively routine fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawExeter City
54.64% (1.03 1.03) 23.17% (-0.224 -0.22) 22.19% (-0.812 -0.81)
Both teams to score 54.37% (-0.32700000000001 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.23% (0.07 0.07)45.77% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.91% (0.065999999999999 0.07)68.09% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (0.392 0.39)16.64% (-0.398 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.52% (0.703 0.7)46.48% (-0.709 -0.71)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (-0.708 -0.71)34.78% (0.701 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (-0.753 -0.75)71.51% (0.747 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 54.63%
    Exeter City 22.19%
    Draw 23.17%
Peterborough UnitedDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.37% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.31% (0.215 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.88% (0.101 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.56% (0.2 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.079 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.49% (0.121 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 22.19%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Exeter

Peterborough United
90.9%
Draw
0.0%
Exeter City
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Exeter
3-2
Peterborough
Dieng (28'), Nombe (86'), Brown (90+1')
Dieng (55')
Clarke-Harris (40'), Mason-Clark (81')
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-2
Peterborough

Ogbene (60'), Oates (84')
Toney (67'), Cummings (77')
Toney (60'), Maddison (70'), Woodyard (86')
Nov 9, 2013 3pm
Round One
Peterborough
2-0
Exeter
Assombalonga (72'), Mendez-Laing (79')
Assombalonga (37'), Ephraim (68')

Doherty (23')
Mar 5, 2011 3pm
Peterborough
3-0
Exeter
Boyd (10', 74'), Mackail-Smith (87')
Sep 18, 2010 3pm
Exeter
2-2
Peterborough
Nardiello (54'), Cureton (71')
Jones (46')
Archibald-Henville (29' og.)
Mackail-Smith (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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