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League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Bolton logo

Exeter
0 - 1
Bolton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradley (27')
Mbete (76'), Thomason (82'), N'Lundulu (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Exeter City and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, April 2 at 3pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

 Exeter's recent home form has been excellent, and this has the potential to be a very tough game for Bolton, who are not in the best of form in the league. It would not be a shock to see a home or indeed an away win, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared in Devon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBolton Wanderers
35.26% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03) 25.89% (0.0030000000000001 0) 38.84% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.49% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)49.8% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.2% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)71.8% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)27.19% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.4% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)62.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (0.007000000000005 0.01)25.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)59.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 35.26%
    Bolton Wanderers 38.84%
    Draw 25.89%
Exeter CityDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.01% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.8% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.26%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 9.44% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.51% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.54%
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 38.84%

How you voted: Exeter vs Bolton

Exeter City
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Bolton Wanderers
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Bolton
2-0
Exeter
Bradley (8'), Charles (26')

Sparkes (90+3')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Bolton
1-2
Exeter
Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')
Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Exeter
1-1
Bolton
Santos (62' og.)
Atangana (67')
Gnahoua (73')
Sarcevic (53'), Brockbank (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122
> League One Full Table


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