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Bolton logo
League Two | Gameweek 45
May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK
Macron Stadium
Exeter City

Bolton
1 - 2
Exeter

Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Bolton Wanderers and Exeter City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
36.34%26.92%36.74%
Both teams to score 51.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.95%54.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.52%75.47%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41%28.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62%64.37%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66%28.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92%64.07%
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 36.33%
    Exeter City 36.73%
    Draw 26.92%
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 36.33%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.1%
2-2 @ 5.05%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 10.21%
1-2 @ 8.06%
0-2 @ 6.44%
1-3 @ 3.39%
0-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 36.73%

Head to Head
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Exeter
1-1
Bolton
Santos (62' og.)
Atangana (67')
Gnahoua (73')
Sarcevic (53'), Brockbank (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Notts County27138643271647
3Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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