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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Bolton logo
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 20, 2021 at 7pm UK
Macron Stadium
Carlisle United

Bolton
1 - 0
Carlisle

Doyle (28')
Santos (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

(43'), Riley (56')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Bolton Wanderers and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCarlisle United
40.19%26.88%32.94%
Both teams to score 50.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75%54.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36%75.65%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52%26.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34%61.67%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17%30.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89%67.11%
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 40.19%
    Carlisle United 32.94%
    Draw 26.87%
Bolton WanderersDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.85%
2-1 @ 8.48%
2-0 @ 7.21%
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-0 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.19%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.17%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 9.61%
1-2 @ 7.51%
0-2 @ 5.65%
1-3 @ 2.95%
0-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.94%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 20
Carlisle
3-3
Bolton
Hayden (5'), Alessandra (7'), Patrick (36')
Riley (24'), Bennett (45+1'), Mellish (48'), Farman (64')
Thomason (44'), Delfouneso (86'), Kioso (88')
Jones (22'), Kioso (50'), Thomason (81')
Kioso (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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