Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.11%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Southend United win it was 1-0 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.