Carlisle

3 - 3

Bolton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 46.79%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 26.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.