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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Cambridge United

Exeter
0 - 0
Cambridge


Purrington (39'), Niskanen (45+1')
FT

Andrew (27'), Taylor (31'), Digby (50'), Kachunga (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Cambridge United

Cambridge have been dismal on the road so far this season, but they were minutes away from claiming a draw against Oxford having drawn away to Charlton Athletic in Harris' first away match in charge. Exeter have improved at home lately, but remain in a difficult position in the table. As such, we can envisage Cambridge finally ending their winless streak on their travels on Saturday, and putting a sizeable gap between themselves and the relegation zone in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 51.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCambridge United
51.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.65% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 23.84% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.72% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73% (0.12 0.12)50.27% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (0.108 0.11)72.22% (-0.107 -0.11)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5% (0.050000000000011 0.05)19.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.61% (0.082000000000001 0.08)51.39% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25% (0.085999999999999 0.09)35.75% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (0.088000000000001 0.09)72.52% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 51.5%
    Cambridge United 23.84%
    Draw 24.65%
Exeter CityDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 9.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.22% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 51.5%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 23.84%

How you voted: Exeter vs Cambridge

Exeter City
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Cambridge United
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Cambridge
2-0
Exeter
Ahadme (17' pen.), Kachunga (84')

Carroll (20'), Cole (45+2')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Exeter
2-0
Cambridge
Collins (18'), McDonald (53')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
Smith (60'), Digby (88')
Digby (29'), Dunk (44'), Lankester (90+6')
Brown (39')
Sweeney (45+1'), Coley (86')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
May (23'), Knibbs (88')
Okedina (9')
Nombe (10' pen.)
Caprice (60'), Ray (82'), Dawson (88'), Collins (90+8')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Cambridge
1-4
Exeter
Ironside (55')
Iredale (12'), Ironside (41'), Knoyle (50'), Digby (90')
Bowman (3'), Sparkes (15'), Collins (67'), Jay (80')
Bowman (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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