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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Cambridge United

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Cambridge

Goodrham (54'), Brown (90+5')
Brown (44'), Brannagan (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cousins (30')
Thomas (53'), May (74'), Stevens (90+2'), Brophy (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One

Cambridge United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Exeter
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Cambridge United

 Cambridge are in a good moment but their away form is a major source of concern coming into this match. Oxford, on the other hand, have been solid at home, and should come out on top in the battle of the U's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 66.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Oxford United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Oxford United.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCambridge United
66.3% (0.047000000000011 0.05) 20.28% (0.02 0.02) 13.42% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 46.46% (-0.253 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.45% (-0.239 -0.24)47.54% (0.23 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24% (-0.22 -0.22)69.75% (0.212 0.21)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)13.46% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.54% (-0.11900000000001 -0.12)40.46% (0.111 0.11)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.68% (-0.257 -0.26)46.31% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.04% (-0.199 -0.2)81.96% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 66.29%
    Cambridge United 13.42%
    Draw 20.28%
Oxford UnitedDrawCambridge United
2-0 @ 12.53% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 12.5% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.38% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 66.29%
1-1 @ 9.62% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 20.28%
0-1 @ 4.8% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.7% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.85% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 13.42%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Cambridge

Oxford United
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Cambridge United
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cambridge
2-0
Oxford Utd
Lankester (15'), Ahadme (28')
Brophy (10'), Lankester (43'), Janneh (44'), Kachunga (90+5')

Rodrigues (12')
> Preview
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Cambridge
1-0
Oxford Utd
Jones (8')
> Preview
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Oxford Utd
1-0
Cambridge
Goodrham (90+3')
Findlay (18'), Browne (47')

Dunk (36')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Oxford Utd
4-2
Cambridge
Taylor (36'), Brannagan (64', 90'), Baldock (72')
Brannagan (9'), Whyte (45+1')
Smith (6', 56')
Brophy (10'), Dunk (21'), O'Neil (90+2')
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Cambridge
4-1
Oxford Utd
Smith (45', 45+3'), Knibbs (80'), Yearn (90+2')
May (63')
Agyei (71')
Cooper (42'), Johnson (53')
McNally (45+1')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
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> League One Full Table


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