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League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Oxford United

Peterborough
3 - 0
Oxford Utd

Kyprianou (23'), Jade-Jones (34'), De Havilland (90+2')
Kioso (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bodin (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Peterborough United 1-1 Oxford United

Peterborough have not lost to Oxford in their last six competitive meetings, but the visitors are different this season. The home side have been great in front of their fans, while Oxford have been solid on the road as well. We predict a close match with the score level at the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawOxford United
53.45% (0.059999999999995 0.06) 22.26% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 24.28% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 60.15% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.66% (0.081000000000003 0.08)39.34% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (0.086000000000006 0.09)61.68% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22% (0.049999999999997 0.05)14.77% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (0.091999999999999 0.09)43.02% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58% (0.01700000000001 0.02)29.41% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (0.021999999999998 0.02)65.41% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 53.45%
    Oxford United 24.29%
    Draw 22.25%
Peterborough UnitedDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 9.72%
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.2% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 53.45%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.25%
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 24.29%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Oxford Utd
1-2
Peterborough
Bodin (52')
Taylor (7'), Poku (31')
Jul 27, 2021 5.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Oxford Utd
0-0
Peterborough
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
1-2
Peterborough
Ruffels (45+1')
Long (12'), Shodipo (53')
Dembele (23'), Broom (63')
Hamilton (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe1392231161529
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport145632017321
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Crawley TownCrawley143291225-1311
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion130581325-125


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