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League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Oxford United

Peterborough
3 - 0
Oxford Utd

Kyprianou (23'), Jade-Jones (34'), De Havilland (90+2')
Kioso (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bodin (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Peterborough United 1-1 Oxford United

Peterborough have not lost to Oxford in their last six competitive meetings, but the visitors are different this season. The home side have been great in front of their fans, while Oxford have been solid on the road as well. We predict a close match with the score level at the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawOxford United
53.45% (0.059999999999995 0.06) 22.26% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 24.28% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 60.15% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.66% (0.081000000000003 0.08)39.34% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (0.086000000000006 0.09)61.68% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22% (0.049999999999997 0.05)14.77% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (0.091999999999999 0.09)43.02% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58% (0.01700000000001 0.02)29.41% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (0.021999999999998 0.02)65.41% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 53.45%
    Oxford United 24.29%
    Draw 22.25%
Peterborough UnitedDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 9.72%
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.2% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 53.45%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.25%
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 24.29%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Oxford Utd
1-2
Peterborough
Bodin (52')
Taylor (7'), Poku (31')
Jul 27, 2021 5.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Oxford Utd
0-0
Peterborough
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
1-2
Peterborough
Ruffels (45+1')
Long (12'), Shodipo (53')
Dembele (23'), Broom (63')
Hamilton (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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