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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Oxford United |
33.22% ( 0.03) | 24.12% ( -0.01) | 42.66% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 60.19% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.81% ( 0.03) | 42.19% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.4% ( 0.03) | 64.6% ( -0.02) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.22% ( 0.03) | 24.78% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.65% ( 0.04) | 59.35% ( -0.04) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.02% ( 0.01) | 19.98% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.85% ( 0) | 52.15% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Oxford United |
2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.82% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.22% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 42.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |