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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Exeter City |
44.06% ( -0.06) | 25.13% ( 0.09) | 30.81% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.67% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.33% ( -0.41) | 47.67% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.14% ( -0.38) | 69.86% ( 0.38) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.36% ( -0.2) | 21.64% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.24% ( -0.31) | 54.76% ( 0.3) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.04% ( -0.23) | 28.97% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.15% ( -0.29) | 64.86% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 44.06% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 30.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |