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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Carlisle United

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Carlisle

Harris (76')
Harris (39'), O'Donkor (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Guy (51'), McCalmont (59'), Back (62'), Huntington (73'), Mellish (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol City 5-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Carlisle United

 Manning will feel that he and his Oxford side are under pressure to deliver in this game, whereas Carlisle can play with a certain level of freedom. Despite those contrasting mentalities, we are backing Oxford to edge this fixture, potentially with a goal in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCarlisle United
31.95% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 27.52% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 40.53% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.62% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)56.94% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.15% (0.016999999999999 0.02)77.85% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.11% (0.0049999999999955 0)32.89% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.46% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.45% (0.016999999999996 0.02)27.55% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.93% (0.021999999999998 0.02)63.07% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 31.95%
    Carlisle United 40.53%
    Draw 27.52%
Oxford UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.22%
2-0 @ 5.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.95%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.06% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 11.68%
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 3.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.53%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2016 3pm
Carlisle
0-2
Oxford Utd

Miller (66')
Maguire (4' pen.), Sercombe (74')
Maguire (18'), Wright (82')
Dec 12, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-1
Carlisle
MacDonald (34')
Dunkley (45' og.)
Joyce (18')
Mar 28, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-1
Carlisle
Hoban (38'), Vassell (80')
Baldock (54')
Corry (9')
Acrhibald-Henville (66'), Buddle (77')
Acrhibald-Henville (68')
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Oxford Utd
Beck (73'), Asamoah (89')
Marrow (50')
Hylton (45')
Nov 19, 2005 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Oxford Utd
Nadé (17'), Hawley (57')

Stirling (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe1392231161529
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport145632017321
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Crawley TownCrawley143291225-1311
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion130581325-125
> League One Full Table


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