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Championship header 2

League One
Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Fleetwood Town

Carlisle
1 - 1
Fleetwood

Moxon (36')
Huntington (4'), Mellish (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wiredu (45+4')
Brown (5'), Nsiala (73'), Earl (85'), Rooney (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Stockport (5-4 pen.)
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in League Two

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Preston
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Fleetwood Town

 The loss of top scorer Kristian Dennis could leave Carlisle without their shooting boots for the first few games of the season, while Fleetwood will not want a repeat of last season and endure an opening-day defeat. Therefore, we think the sides will approach this game with caution, and they will cancel each other out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
41.5% (-1.378 -1.38) 27.53% (0.203 0.2) 30.97% (1.172 1.17)
Both teams to score 48.24% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.74% (-0.355 -0.35)57.26% (0.353 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.9% (-0.282 -0.28)78.1% (0.28099999999999 0.28)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (-0.896 -0.9)27.17% (0.894 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43% (-1.181 -1.18)62.57% (1.18 1.18)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (0.681 0.68)33.76% (-0.683 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58% (0.732 0.73)70.42% (-0.735 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 41.5%
    Fleetwood Town 30.97%
    Draw 27.52%
Carlisle UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 11.95% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.296 -0.3)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.5%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9.17% (0.123 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 9.96% (0.315 0.32)
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.176 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.267 0.27)
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.11 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 30.97%

Head to Head
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
1-1
Fleetwood
Idehen (90')
Garner (46')
Sep 1, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
1-3
Fleetwood
Toure (36')
Riley (90+2')
Toure (90')
Camps (44'), Saunders (57', 68')
Matete (90+2')
Nov 8, 2017 7.45pm
-
Carlisle
1-2
Fleetwood
Miller (86')
Devitt (33'), Miller (55')
Sowerby (10'), Burns (44')
Biggins (29')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Fleetwood
1-2
Carlisle
Hiwula (69')
Maguire (6'), O'Neill (75'), Bolger (90')
Rodgers (105')
Miller (22'), Miller (101')
Devitt (71'), Liddle (85'), Grainger (95'), Miller (104'), Hope (116')
Nov 13, 2013 7.45pm
Area Quarter-Finals
Fleetwood
2-0
Carlisle
Ball (6'), Sarcevic (54')

Berrett (15')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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