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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Salford City

Carlisle
2 - 3
Salford City

Garner (77'), Dennis (85' pen.)
Guy (16'), Edmondson (45+1'), Garner (78'), Dennis (86')
Mellish (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hendry (23'), Bolton (28', 88')
Touray (52'), Watt (83'), McAleny (84')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Salford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Carlisle
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-3 Salford City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawSalford City
37.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.12%35.58% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Both teams to score 50.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.12% (0.0049999999999955 0)54.88% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83% (0.0040000000000013 0)76.17% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)28.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.16% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)29.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)65.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 37.3%
    Salford City 35.57%
    Draw 27.12%
Carlisle UnitedDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 8.1%
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 37.3%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 10.22%
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.21%
0-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 35.57%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Salford City
1-4
Carlisle
Smith (52')
Dennis (3', 80'), Guy (67'), Whelan (72')
Guy (43')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Salford City
2-1
Carlisle
Watson (52' pen.), Smith (71')
Patrick (67')
Feeney (62'), Riley (82')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
gameweek 6
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Dickenson (8'), Mellish (60')
Abrahams (29'), Clough (37'), Guy (84')
Morris (44')
Turnbull (39'), Lowe (70')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
gameweek 30
Salford City
1-1
Carlisle
Wilson (79')
Touray (17'), Turnbull (58')
Tanner (11')
Bennett (45+1'), Mellish (55')
Dec 2, 2020 7pm
gameweek 15
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Alessandra (33'), Bennett (55')
Guy (2'), Mellish (36'), Kayode (45'), Tanner (66')
Dieseruvwe (90')
Touray (64'), Bernard (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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9.05pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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