Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 36%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.23%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.