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Championship header 2

League Two
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Carlisle United

Sutton
1 - 1
Carlisle

Kouassi (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kizzi (85' og.)
Robinson (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Salford City
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 0-2 Carlisle United

 Carlisle only need a point on Monday, but we expect them to take all three, given that they looked very solid in their last away trip against Barrow. Not only that, but Sutton have been very poor in recent weeks, typified by a shock defeat against bottom-of-the-table Rochdale, which indicates they have very little chance against a side of the Cumbrians' quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.97%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-0 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawCarlisle United
28.82% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 29.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 41.97% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 42.81% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.38% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)63.62% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.08% (-0.044 -0.04)82.92% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.14% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)38.86% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.41% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)75.59% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01%29.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 28.82%
    Carlisle United 41.96%
    Draw 29.2%
Sutton UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 6.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 28.82%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 11.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.2%
0-1 @ 14.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.45% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.39% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 41.96%

How you voted: Sutton vs Carlisle

Sutton United
10.0%
Draw
20.0%
Carlisle United
70.0%
10
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 1pm
gameweek 20
Carlisle
1-1
Sutton
Edmondson (30')
Guy (45+3')
Randall (45')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
gameweek 29
Carlisle
0-2
Sutton

Omotoye (52')
Olaofe (23'), Ajiboye (31')
Milsom (55'), Olaofe (67')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
gameweek 9
Sutton
4-0
Carlisle
Whelan (4' og.), Smith (37', 70'), Ajiboye (81')
Goodliffe (57')

Mampala (56'), Dickenson (56')
Mampala (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall26184452262658
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe271210534231146
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
4Port Vale2712963328545
5AFC Wimbledon25135737191844
6Notts County26128642271544
7Bradford CityBradford26128637271044
8Salford City2612683023742
9Grimsby Town27122133744-738
10Chesterfield269984031936
11Bromley2681173632435
12MK Dons26105113937235
13Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2697103639-334
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood258983331233
16BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
17Gillingham2594122326-331
18Swindon TownSwindon28710113542-731
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2885152338-1529
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2577113343-1028
21Newport CountyNewport2575133345-1226
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2668121940-2126
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2656152140-1921
24Morecambe2655162241-1920
> League Two Full Table


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