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Championship header 2

League Two
Bradford City
League Two | 1st Leg
May 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Carlisle United

Bradford
1 - 0
Carlisle

Walker (18')
(44')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Whelan (8'), Garner (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Bradford City and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bradford City

All competitions
Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Leyton Orient
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Carlisle
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Bradford City 1-1 Carlisle United

 Carlisle have drawn a number of games against some of the better sides in the fourth tier recently, including Stockport County and Northampton Town, so it would not be a surprise if nothing separates the two sides. In truth, Simpson would probably take a draw in the first leg, as although Bradford's home form has not been sensational, it is likely to be a very tough place to go for a game of this magnitude, with the crowd in full voice. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bradford City in this match.

Result
Bradford CityDrawCarlisle United
39.74% (0.116 0.12) 27.84% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 32.43% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.83% (0.278 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42% (0.349 0.35)58% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.31% (0.273 0.27)78.69% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (0.236 0.24)28.5% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.72% (0.293 0.29)64.28% (-0.28899999999999 -0.29)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.9% (0.17100000000001 0.17)33.11% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.3% (0.187 0.19)69.7% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Bradford City 39.73%
    Carlisle United 32.43%
    Draw 27.83%
Bradford CityDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.84% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.11% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 39.73%
1-1 @ 13.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.44% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 10.43% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 32.43%

How you voted: Bradford vs Carlisle

Bradford City
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Carlisle United
25.0%
16
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 28
Bradford
0-0
Carlisle

Oliver (79'), Oliver (79+79')

Moxon (37'), Barclay (56'), Armer (90+5')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 23
Carlisle
1-0
Bradford
Huntington (34')

Chapman (58')
May 7, 2022 3pm
gameweek 46
Bradford
2-0
Carlisle
Angol (13'), Walker (69')
Cooke (79')

Whelan (56'), Armer (67'), Dickenson (80'), Omotoye (86')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Carlisle
2-0
Bradford
Gibson (45'), Patrick (87')

Songo'o (64'), Angol (90+1'), Watt (90+4')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
gameweek 36
Carlisle
3-1
Bradford
Bennett (37'), Zanzala (39', 56')
Zanzala (74'), Farman (79'), Alessandra (80'), Patrick (90')
O'Connor (64')
Watt (34'), Sutton (69'), O'Connor (73'), Rowe (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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