MX23RW : Monday, December 23 02:22:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | 2nd Leg
May 20, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Bradford City

Carlisle
3 - 1
Bradford

Halliday (21' og.), Guy (98'), Barclay (112')
Armer (6'), Garner (60'), Guy (96')
FT
(aet)
Derbyshire (106')
Clayton (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Carlisle
Sunday, May 14 at 7pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Carlisle
Sunday, May 14 at 7pm in League Two

We say: Carlisle United 1-1 Bradford City (Bradford win 2-1 on aggregate)

Carlisle will give it their absolute all with a place in the playoff final on the line, but Bradford have shown that they know how to get the job done away from home all season. As such, we expect the visitors to pick up a draw, which will be enough to book their place at Wembley on May 28th. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBradford City
36.62% (0.195 0.2) 28.06% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 35.32% (-0.2 -0.2)
Both teams to score 47.59% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.5% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)58.5% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.92% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)79.08% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4% (0.10600000000001 0.11)30.6% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17% (0.124 0.12)66.84% (-0.119 -0.12)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.58% (-0.145 -0.14)31.42% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2% (-0.168 -0.17)67.8% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 36.61%
    Bradford City 35.32%
    Draw 28.06%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 11.38% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.74% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.08% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.61%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.62% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 11.13% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.32%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Bradford

Carlisle United
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Bradford City
14.3%
14
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 7pm
Mar 21, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 28
Bradford
0-0
Carlisle

Oliver (79'), Oliver (79+79')

Moxon (37'), Barclay (56'), Armer (90+5')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 3pm
gameweek 46
Bradford
2-0
Carlisle
Angol (13'), Walker (69')
Cooke (79')

Whelan (56'), Armer (67'), Dickenson (80'), Omotoye (86')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Carlisle
2-0
Bradford
Gibson (45'), Patrick (87')

Songo'o (64'), Angol (90+1'), Watt (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!