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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
41.61% ( -2.61) | 24.97% ( 0.45) | 33.42% ( 2.16) |
Both teams to score 57.25% ( -0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.93% ( -1.29) | 46.07% ( 1.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.63% ( -1.24) | 68.37% ( 1.24) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.9% ( -1.74) | 22.1% ( 1.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.53% ( -2.7) | 55.47% ( 2.71) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.49% ( 0.72) | 26.51% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.29% ( 0.95) | 61.71% ( -0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.39) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.37) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.61% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.97% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.33) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.57) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.47) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |