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League One
Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Bristol Rovers

Forest Green
1 - 3
Bristol Rovers

Savage (12')
Bernard (81')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Marquis (19', 61'), Sinclair (26')
Bogarde (54'), Marquis (69'), McCormick (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Forest Green
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Barnsley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Forest Green Rovers 0-1 Bristol Rovers

 The hosts are in dire need of a win as the gap between themselves and safety already looks close to unassailable. Bristol Rovers will hope their improved defence can help them towards three points on the road here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawBristol Rovers
36.98% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 25.59% (-0.023 -0.02) 37.43% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.67% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.65% (0.105 0.11)48.35% (-0.105 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.51% (0.096 0.1)70.49% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (0.040999999999997 0.04)25.51% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63% (0.059000000000005 0.06)60.36% (-0.058 -0.06)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (0.069000000000003 0.07)25.26% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97% (0.094999999999999 0.09)60.02% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 36.98%
    Bristol Rovers 37.43%
    Draw 25.59%
Forest Green RoversDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 36.98%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 8.87% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.8% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 37.43%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Bristol Rovers

Forest Green Rovers
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Bristol Rovers
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Forest Green
Collins (71')
Evans (80')
Moore-Taylor (55'), Hendry (89')
Stevenson (28'), O'Keeffe (61'), Matt (90+3'), Cargill (90+5')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Bristol Rovers
0-0
Forest Green

Finley (51'), Evans (64'), Anderson (74'), Collins (90+1'), Taylor (90+4')

Adams (19'), Stevenson (22'), Hendry (57'), McGee (77')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Forest Green
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Matt (20', 77' pen.)
Godwin-Malife (41'), Matt (81')
Godwin-Malife (63')

Anderton (28'), Evans (78'), Finley (80')
May 3, 2015 12.45pm
Semi-Finals
Bristol Rovers
2-0
Forest Green
> Match Report
Apr 29, 2015 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Forest Green
0-1
Bristol Rovers
> Match Report
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
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24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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