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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Oxford United |
58.32% ( 0.03) | 22.67% ( -0) | 19.01% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.12% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.3% ( -0.02) | 47.71% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.1% ( -0.02) | 69.9% ( 0.02) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.95% ( 0) | 16.05% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.59% ( 0.01) | 45.41% ( -0.01) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.89% ( -0.04) | 39.11% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.17% ( -0.04) | 75.83% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.18% Total : 58.31% | 1-1 @ 10.78% 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.67% | 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 19.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |