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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Barnsley
2 - 1
Shrewsbury

Cadden (40'), Cole (45+2')
Andersen (29'), Connell (47')
Cadden (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Phillips (90+1')
Cotterill (30'), Bowman (31'), Pennington (76'), Moore (78'), Shipley (90+7'), Bloxham (90+8'), Phillips (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Barnsley and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Barnsley
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 3-1 Shrewsbury Town

Barnsley have netted three goals or more in six of their last seven games at Oakwell, while Shrewsbury's wretched road form has not produced near enough goals of late. This seems a straightforward home win for the Tykes, with Duff's team expected to be superior to the visiting side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 10.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.08%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawShrewsbury Town
70.12% (0.80000000000001 0.8) 18.92% (-0.223 -0.22) 10.97% (-0.571 -0.57)
Both teams to score 43.32% (-1.16 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (-0.513 -0.51)47.66% (0.52 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (-0.474 -0.47)69.86% (0.48100000000001 0.48)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (0.079999999999998 0.08)12.39% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.73% (0.159 0.16)38.27% (-0.152 -0.15)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.44% (-1.369 -1.37)50.56% (1.374 1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.96% (-0.949 -0.95)85.04% (0.95700000000001 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 70.11%
    Shrewsbury Town 10.97%
    Draw 18.92%
BarnsleyDrawShrewsbury Town
2-0 @ 13.65% (0.36 0.36)
1-0 @ 13.08% (0.32 0.32)
3-0 @ 9.51% (0.282 0.28)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.115 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.96% (0.161 0.16)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.111 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.07% (0.073 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 70.11%
1-1 @ 8.92% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.135 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.18% (-0.169 -0.17)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 18.92%
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-2 @ 3.04% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-2 @ 1.46% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 10.97%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Shrewsbury

Barnsley
84.2%
Draw
15.8%
Shrewsbury Town
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
Shrewsbury
3-1
Barnsley
Docherty (2'), Norburn (23'), Waterfall (68')
Grant (17')
Pinnock (49')
McGeehan (51'), Mowatt (81'), Hedges (90')
Jan 16, 2016 3pm
Shrewsbury
0-3
Barnsley

Black (44'), Brown (51'), Whitbread (59'), Wellens (72')
Winnall (15', 21'), Mawson (72')
Watkins (25'), Long (66')
Sep 5, 2015 3pm
Barnsley
1-2
Shrewsbury
Winnall (38')
Hourihane (40'), Pearson (45'), Scowen (84')
Ellis (6'), Clark (94')
Cole (49'), Clark (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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