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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 75.87%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 8.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.83%) and 3-0 (10.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.52%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ipswich Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ipswich Town.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
75.87% ( -0.61) | 15.88% ( 0.23) | 8.25% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 42.57% ( 1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.47% ( 0.31) | 42.53% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.07% ( 0.31) | 64.93% ( -0.31) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.51% ( -0.07) | 9.49% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.16% ( -0.17) | 31.84% ( 0.17) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.04% ( 1.15) | 52.96% ( -1.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.37% ( 0.72) | 86.63% ( -0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
2-0 @ 13.93% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.15% Total : 75.86% | 1-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.52% Total : 15.88% | 0-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.65% Total : 8.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |