MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 05:14:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One
Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Oxford United

Forest Green
0 - 3
Oxford Utd

FT(HT: 0-1)
Joseph (11'), Goodrham (46'), Bodin (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 Forest Green
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Forest Green Rovers 0-1 Oxford United

 Oxford have finally started to pick up some decent results at the most important stage of the season, and given that this game means far more to them than it does to Forest Green, they are likely to emerge victorious. FGR have had a very poor maiden season in League One, winning just one home game in 2023, and there have been no recent indications they will be able to take anything from Saturday's game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 49.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawOxford United
24.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 25.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 49.48% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.56% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.44% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)75.81% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (0.009999999999998 0.01)37.34% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)74.13% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)22.03% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)55.36% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 24.63%
    Oxford United 49.47%
    Draw 25.89%
Forest Green RoversDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 3.99% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 24.63%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 12.44%
0-2 @ 9.41% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-3 @ 4.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.79% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 49.47%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Oxford Utd

Forest Green Rovers
22.2%
Draw
0.0%
Oxford United
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Oxford Utd
1-1
Forest Green
Boyes (19' og.)
Matt (60')
Bernard (38')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
1-1
Forest Green
 Oxford Utd win 4-1 on penalties
Shodipo (64')
Bailey (45+1')
Nov 20, 2018 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Forest Green
0-3
Oxford Utd

McGinley (26')
Henry (36'), Mackie (47'), Browne (78')
Brannagan (65')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
0-0
Forest Green

Mousinho (52'), McMahon (58')

Winchester (60')
Dec 6, 2015 2pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
1-0
Forest Green
Roofe (76')
Hylton (12'), Rose (35')

Sinclair (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
> League One Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!