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Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Oxford United

Forest Green
0 - 3
Oxford Utd

FT(HT: 0-1)
Joseph (11'), Goodrham (46'), Bodin (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Forest Green Rovers 0-1 Oxford United

Oxford have finally started to pick up some decent results at the most important stage of the season, and given that this game means far more to them than it does to Forest Green, they are likely to emerge victorious. FGR have had a very poor maiden season in League One, winning just one home game in 2023, and there have been no recent indications they will be able to take anything from Saturday's game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 49.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawOxford United
24.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 25.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 49.48% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.56% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.44% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)75.81% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (0.009999999999998 0.01)37.34% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)74.13% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)22.03% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)55.36% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 24.63%
    Oxford United 49.47%
    Draw 25.89%
Forest Green RoversDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 3.99% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 24.63%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 12.44%
0-2 @ 9.41% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-3 @ 4.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.79% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 49.47%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Oxford Utd

Forest Green Rovers
22.2%
Draw
0.0%
Oxford United
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Oxford Utd
1-1
Forest Green
Boyes (19' og.)
Matt (60')
Bernard (38')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
1-1
Forest Green
Oxford Utd win 4-1 on penalties
Shodipo (64')
Bailey (45+1')
Nov 20, 2018 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Forest Green
0-3
Oxford Utd

McGinley (26')
Henry (36'), Mackie (47'), Browne (78')
Brannagan (65')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Dec 6, 2015 2pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
1-0
Forest Green
Roofe (76')
Hylton (12'), Rose (35')

Sinclair (53')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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