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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
47.47% ( 0.42) | 26.09% ( 0.01) | 26.45% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 49.85% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.07% ( -0.29) | 53.93% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.62% ( -0.24) | 75.38% ( 0.25) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.28% ( 0.07) | 22.72% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.61% ( 0.1) | 56.39% ( -0.1) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.5% ( -0.51) | 35.5% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.74% ( -0.53) | 72.26% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 47.47% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.01% Total : 26.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |