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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Oxford Utd
1 - 2
Accrington

Bodin (8')
Joseph (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Adedoyin (64'), Presley (85')
Coyle (57'), Hamilton (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Oxford United and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 3-0 Accrington Stanley

 Oxford can play without the fear of relegation on Sunday, and against an Accrington outfit who are destined for the drop, Manning's men could put on a real show for their home faithful. There is an air of regret from Stanley boss Coleman on how he operated during this season in terms of player incomings, and we cannot envisage such a negative backdrop reaping a result at the Kassam Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 17.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawAccrington Stanley
60.65% (-0.109 -0.11) 21.7% (0.00099999999999767 0) 17.64% (0.105 0.11)
Both teams to score 51.7% (0.209 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34% (0.17 0.17)45.66% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (0.163 0.16)67.98% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.41% (0.021999999999991 0.02)14.59% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.32% (0.044999999999995 0.04)42.67% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.53% (0.228 0.23)39.47% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.84% (0.212 0.21)76.16% (-0.21300000000001 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 60.64%
    Accrington Stanley 17.64%
    Draw 21.7%
Oxford UnitedDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.08% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 10.66% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.84% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.06% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 60.64%
1-1 @ 10.3%
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.7%
0-1 @ 5.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.79% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.49% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 17.64%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Accrington

Oxford United
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Accrington Stanley
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Accrington
1-1
Oxford Utd
Hamilton (84')
Tharme (35')
Henry (58')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 32
Accrington
2-0
Oxford Utd
O'Sullivan (28'), Hamilton (90+1')
Leigh (47')

Williams (49'), Brannagan (75')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 10
Oxford Utd
5-1
Accrington
Holland (18', 24'), Taylor (50'), Sykes (71'), Nottingham (90+4' og.)
Seddon (56'), Kane (79'), Moore (81'), Williams (90')
Hamilton (61')
Sykes (45+3'), McConville (81')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
gameweek 40
Oxford Utd
1-2
Accrington
Lee (25')
Lee (54'), Taylor (88')
Smyth (16'), Nottingham (70')
Butcher (58'), Rodgers (87')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
gameweek 3
Accrington
1-4
Oxford Utd
Cassidy (71' pen.)
Rodgers (44'), Hughes (55'), Pritchard (90')
Charles (75')
Henry (45'), Pritchard (73' og.), Taylor (85', 88')
rhs 2.0
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> League One Full Table


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