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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Peterborough United |
18.33% | 21.63% ( 0) | 60.03% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 53.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.74% ( -0) | 44.26% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.36% ( -0) | 66.64% |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.15% ( 0) | 37.85% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.37% | 74.62% |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.67% | 14.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.83% ( -0) | 42.16% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Peterborough United |
1-0 @ 5.27% 2-1 @ 4.97% 2-0 @ 2.56% 3-1 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.36% Total : 18.33% | 1-1 @ 10.23% 0-0 @ 5.42% 2-2 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.63% | 0-1 @ 10.53% 0-2 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-3 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 6.44% 0-4 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 3.13% 2-4 @ 1.52% 0-5 @ 1.25% 1-5 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.78% Total : 60.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |