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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 26
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Accrington
0 - 2
Plymouth


Sangare (17'), McConville (38'), Martin (42'), Longelo-Mbule (90+4')
Sangare (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Butcher (14'), Grant (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 0-1 MK Dons
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth have only won six of their 18 away league matches this season, but we are expecting the visitors to triumph in this match. Accrington's recent form has been disappointing, so it is difficult to back the strugglers to collect anything from Tuesday night's affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawPlymouth Argyle
28.27% (-0.301 -0.3) 24.26% (0.309 0.31) 47.47% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.04% (-1.276 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.84% (-1.583 -1.58)45.16% (1.584 1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (-1.536 -1.54)67.5% (1.537 1.54)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-1.024 -1.02)29.46% (1.025 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (-1.268 -1.27)65.47% (1.271 1.27)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87% (-0.625 -0.63)19.13% (0.627 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.23% (-1.044 -1.04)50.77% (1.045 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 28.27%
    Plymouth Argyle 47.48%
    Draw 24.25%
Accrington StanleyDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.89% (0.271 0.27)
2-0 @ 4.21% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.84% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 28.27%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.374 0.37)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.444 0.44)
0-2 @ 7.71% (0.219 0.22)
1-3 @ 5.19% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 4.25% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 47.48%

How you voted: Accrington vs Plymouth

Accrington Stanley
18.2%
Draw
10.0%
Plymouth Argyle
71.8%
110
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
4-0
Accrington
Camara (12'), Edwards (37'), Ennis (64'), Hardie (79')
Camara (62')

Butcher (31')
Savin (68')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Accrington
1-4
Plymouth
Leigh (50')
Leigh (54'), Conneely (72')
Hamilton (23' og.), Houghton (44'), Broom (63'), Hardie (76')
Garrick (79'), Grant (84')
Feb 9, 2021 5.30pm
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
2-2
Accrington
Jephcott (43'), Ennis (78')
Opoku (87'), Lewis (88')
Pritchard (41'), Charles (47')
Barclay (63'), Butcher (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
20Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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