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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 21
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
Portsmouth

Accrington
1 - 3
Portsmouth

Adedoyin (88')
Rodgers (49'), Fernandes (62'), Leigh (73')
Jensen (10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pigott (13'), Hackett-Fairchild (57'), Bishop (81')
Mousinho (11'), Morrell (46'), Scarlett (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Portsmouth

Portsmouth boast more quality in their squad than the hosts, but Cowley's men are struggling for form in the third tier while Accrington are improving, and we only see the visitors leaving with another draw at the weekend amid their struggles. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawPortsmouth
23.92% (0.553 0.55) 25.17% (0.297 0.3) 50.91% (-0.844 -0.84)
Both teams to score 50.24% (-0.281 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.73% (-0.67 -0.67)52.27% (0.675 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (-0.579 -0.58)73.96% (0.584 0.58)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22% (0.135 0.13)36.78% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43% (0.135 0.13)73.57% (-0.131 -0.13)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.611 -0.61)20.53% (0.615 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96% (-0.979 -0.98)53.04% (0.985 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 23.92%
    Portsmouth 50.91%
    Draw 25.16%
Accrington StanleyDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 7.55% (0.226 0.23)
2-1 @ 5.98% (0.088 0.09)
2-0 @ 3.78% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.26% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 23.92%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 11.95% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 9.46% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-3 @ 4.99% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.98% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 50.91%

How you voted: Accrington vs Portsmouth

Accrington Stanley
40.7%
Draw
18.5%
Portsmouth
40.7%
27
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
4-0
Accrington
Hirst (16', 56'), Raggett (28'), Tunnicliffe (69')
Robertson (2'), Romeo (38')
Harness (21')

Pell (47'), Nottingham (86')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Accrington
2-2
Portsmouth
Pell (50'), Butcher (77')
Sykes (45+2'), Hamilton (64')
Curtis (18'), Harness (86')
Raggett (28'), Curtis (64')
May 9, 2021 12pm
Portsmouth
0-1
Accrington

Harness (18'), Downing (28'), Byers (64'), White (66')
Phillips (23')
Rodgers (62')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Accrington
3-3
Portsmouth
Bishop (15'), Burgess (43'), Marquis (90+5' og.)
Barclay (90+3'), Conneely (90+4')
Marquis (49', 90+1'), Williams (54')
Curtis (84'), Cannon (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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