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Championship header 2

League One
Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Forest Green Rovers

Plymouth
2 - 0
Forest Green

Bolton (7'), Mumba (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Keeffe (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Barnsley 3-0 Plymouth
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Forest Green 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Forest Green Rovers

 Knowing they have no more room for error with the gap to Ipswich reduced to two points, Plymouth will be desperate to return to winning ways on home turf at the weekend and should have more than enough quality to see off a Forest Green Rovers side lacking any confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 70.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawForest Green Rovers
70.59% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 17.3% (-0.012 -0.01) 12.11% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.73% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.77% (0.024999999999999 0.02)37.22% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.57% (0.027000000000001 0.03)59.43% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.6% (0.010999999999996 0.01)9.4% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.38% (0.027000000000001 0.03)31.62% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.19% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.8% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)78.27% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 70.59%
    Forest Green Rovers 12.11%
    Draw 17.3%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawForest Green Rovers
2-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.55% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-0 @ 5.12% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-1 @ 4.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.42% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-1 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
6-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 70.59%
1-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.3%
1-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-1 @ 3.43% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 12.11%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Forest Green

Plymouth Argyle
90.9%
Draw
4.5%
Forest Green Rovers
4.5%
22
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Forest Green
0-3
Plymouth

Hendry (74')
Azaz (18'), Mumba (27'), Ennis (61')
Mumba (84')
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
P-P
Forest Green
Nov 16, 2019 3pm
Forest Green
0-1
Plymouth

Kitching (30'), Bernard (45')
Sarcevic (24')
Moore (31'), Edwards (83'), Palmer (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
> League One Full Table


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