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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
42.58% ( -1.79) | 25.21% ( -0.08) | 32.2% ( 1.86) |
Both teams to score 56.02% ( 1.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.53% ( 1.06) | 47.47% ( -1.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.32% ( 0.97) | 69.68% ( -0.98) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.76% ( -0.38) | 22.24% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.33% ( -0.58) | 55.67% ( 0.58) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% ( 1.77) | 27.95% ( -1.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.42% ( 2.2) | 63.58% ( -2.2) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.53) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.49) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.58% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 38 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
15 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 27 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Burton Albion | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |