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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Oxford United

MK Dons
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Kaikai (25')
Maghoma (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bate (71')
Fleming (13'), Brannagan (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 MK Dons
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 0-2 Oxford United

We believe that Oxford will put an end to the poor form that they have suffered as of late and will find a more clinical edge to their performance as they have not suffered from a lack of ability to create goalscoring situations. MK Dons will set up well, however, a lack of ability to highly threaten Oxford's goal could leave them unstuck in this contest and therefore we think that this contest will end 2-0 in the away side's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawOxford United
43.13% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04) 25.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 31.04% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.49% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.45% (0.045000000000002 0.05)50.55% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53% (0.038999999999998 0.04)72.47% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.31% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75% (0.0040000000000049 0)57.25% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (0.051999999999992 0.05)30.26% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (0.063000000000002 0.06)66.43% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 43.13%
    Oxford United 31.04%
    Draw 25.82%
MK DonsDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 10.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 43.13%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.34% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.04%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Oxford Utd

MK Dons
11.1%
Draw
22.2%
Oxford United
66.7%
9
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-2
MK Dons
Mousinho (89')
Smith (44'), Grigg (84' pen.)
McEachran (59')
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
1-0
MK Dons
Bodin (86')
McNally (43'), Taylor (90+1'), (90+3'), Brannagan (90+5')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
1-2
Oxford Utd
Boateng (11')
McEachran (90+2')
Taylor (65'), Sykes (79')
Henry (42'), Thorniley (70'), Sykes (80'), Long (90+2')
Thorniley (90+7')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
1-1
Oxford Utd
Surman (13')
Mason (48'), Fisher (84'), Gladwin (90'), Laird (90+3')
Lee (90+7')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Oxford Utd
3-2
MK Dons
Taylor (6'), Long (58'), Shodipo (88')
Henry (45+4'), Taylor (82')
Jerome (11'), Gladwin (90+2')
Kasumu (19'), Houghton (37'), Lewington (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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