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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Stadium MK
Oxford United

MK Dons
1 - 2
Oxford Utd

Boateng (11')
McEachran (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Taylor (65'), Sykes (79')
Henry (42'), Thorniley (70'), Sykes (80'), Long (90+2')
Thorniley (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: MK Dons 1-2 Oxford United

It is unlikely that either of these two sides will break into the automatic promotion spaces, making the playoffs their only viable route out of the division. MK Dons may be the home side, but Oxford have the experience in recent years, making an away win the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Oxford United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Oxford United.

Result
MK DonsDrawOxford United
33.3%25.45%41.24%
Both teams to score 55.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.77%48.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62%70.38%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.37%27.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.83%63.17%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78%23.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.87%57.12%
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 33.3%
    Oxford United 41.24%
    Draw 25.44%
MK DonsDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.25%
2-1 @ 7.75%
2-0 @ 5.31%
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-2 @ 2.43%
3-0 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 33.3%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.42%
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 9.37%
1-2 @ 8.8%
0-2 @ 6.84%
1-3 @ 4.28%
0-3 @ 3.33%
2-3 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.22%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 41.24%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Oxford Utd

MK Dons
42.9%
Draw
0.0%
Oxford United
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 32
MK Dons
1-1
Oxford Utd
Surman (13')
Mason (48'), Fisher (84'), Gladwin (90'), Laird (90+3')
Lee (90+7')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 7
Oxford Utd
3-2
MK Dons
Taylor (6'), Long (58'), Shodipo (88')
Henry (45+4'), Taylor (82')
Jerome (11'), Gladwin (90+2')
Kasumu (19'), Houghton (37'), Lewington (74')
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 21
MK Dons
1-0
Oxford Utd
Mason (59')
Houghton (17'), Nicholls (67'), Lewington (75'), Agard (82'), Reeves (97')

Dickie (39'), Fosu (88'), Rodriguez (96')
Jan 1, 2018 3pm
Oxford Utd
3-1
MK Dons
Thomas (15'), Van Kessel (45'), Obika (59')
Ledson (67')
Ricardinho (82')
Gilbey (25')
Williams (11'), Muirhead (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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