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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Exeter City

MK Dons
0 - 2
Exeter


Devoy (36'), Harvie (63'), Watson (81'), Kaikai (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brown (37' pen., 67')
Brown (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Exeter City

Although MK Dons are currently in a relegation fight, they have never lost a competitive home game against Exeter, and we think that they will continue that run by playing out a draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawExeter City
46.82% (0.013999999999996 0.01) 24.85%28.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.13% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)47.7% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.42% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.86% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.28% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)30.73% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.02% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)66.98% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 46.82%
    Exeter City 28.33%
    Draw 24.84%
MK DonsDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.82%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 6.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.41%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 28.33%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Exeter

MK Dons
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
Exeter City
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Feb 2, 2019 3pm
Exeter
3-1
MK Dons
Law (7', 72'), Taylor (17')
Sweeney (6')
Walsh (48')
Cargill (58'), Houghton (73'), Gilbey (95')
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
1-0
Exeter
Agard (65' pen.)
Agard (17'), D'Ath (90')

Moxey (37'), Stockley (64')
Moxey (55')
Mar 10, 2012 3pm
Aug 13, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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