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League One
MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Forest Green Rovers

MK Dons
1 - 0
Forest Green

Harvie (58')
O'Hora (19'), McEachran (64'), Tucker (77'), Johnson (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Little (76'), Casey (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between MK Dons and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
League One
Last Game: MK Dons 0-3 Leicester
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 4-0 Forest Green
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Forest Green Rovers

 The side with just one home win this season welcomes visitors with just one win on the road, so we are expecting this to be a tight and cagey relegation scrap. Optimism is high for the arrival of a promising new coach for the Dons, but Forest Green's two wins in their last three proves that they are up for the fight, and that they should be able to secure at least a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawForest Green Rovers
54.86% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 22.85% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 22.3% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.6% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.78% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)44.22% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.4% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)66.6% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)16.01% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.66% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)45.34% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)33.81% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.53% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)70.47% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 54.86%
    Forest Green Rovers 22.3%
    Draw 22.84%
MK DonsDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.08% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.55% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 54.86%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.84%
0-1 @ 5.87% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 22.3%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Forest Green

MK Dons
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Forest Green Rovers
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Forest Green
1-2
MK Dons
Williams (63')
Rawson (45')
Agard (38'), Martin (87')
Martin (60'), McGrandles (77')
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
1-1
Forest Green
Aneke (31')
Cisse (89')
Reid (80' pen.)
Gunning (52')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Forest Green
0-1
MK Dons
Ariyibi (110')
Cisse (28'), Ebanks-Landell (37'), Williams (45'), Downing (112')
rhs 2.0
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4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
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6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122
> League One Full Table


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