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Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 1pm UK
The New Lawn
Cambridge United

Forest Green
2 - 1
Cambridge

March (37'), Wickham (90+3' pen.)
Casey (45+1'), Boyes (78'), O'Keeffe (89'), McGeouch (90+6')
O'Keeffe (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Janneh (89')
Smith (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Forest Green Rovers 2-0 Cambridge United

Forest Green may be unfortunately placed at the bottom of the league table, making them strong relegation candidates. However, manager Burchnall will look to take advantage against a Cambridge side seemingly incapable of scoring goals either home or away. Another strong outing for the Green's strike partnership of Wickham and March should be enough to topple Cambridge, and we predict winning goals from the pair of them this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawCambridge United
50.3% (0.879 0.88) 25.05% (-0.306 -0.31) 24.65% (-0.574 -0.57)
Both teams to score 51.35% (0.364 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83% (0.753 0.75)51.17% (-0.756 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.656 0.66)73.01% (-0.65700000000001 -0.66)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.64% (0.67400000000001 0.67)20.35% (-0.674 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.24% (1.06 1.06)52.75% (-1.062 -1.06)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.47% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)35.52% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)72.29% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 50.3%
    Cambridge United 24.65%
    Draw 25.04%
Forest Green RoversDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.16% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.146 0.15)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.153 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 2% (0.098 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.099 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 50.3%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.48% (-0.247 -0.25)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.65%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Cambridge

Forest Green Rovers
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Cambridge United
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Forest Green
2-0
Cambridge
Collins (58'), Matt (65' pen.)
Matt (45+1')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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