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League One
Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Port Vale

Cambridge
0 - 1
Port Vale


Simper (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Digby (79' og.)
Worrall (27'), Massey (78'), Conlon (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Ipswich
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-0 Wolves U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Cambridge United 0-2 Port Vale

 Port Vale are unbeaten in their last three, and although they may not have the most potent attack, they face a Cambridge side who have been generous in giving up goals. Cambridge are struggling for form in the league, and we think Port Vale will take advantage of that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 50.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Port Vale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Port Vale.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawPort Vale
23.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 25.38% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 50.86% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.43% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.76% (0.039999999999999 0.04)53.24% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.2% (0.033999999999999 0.03)74.79% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53% (0.012999999999998 0.01)37.47% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)74.25% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (0.025999999999996 0.03)20.95% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (0.039999999999999 0.04)53.69% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 23.75%
    Port Vale 50.86%
    Draw 25.38%
Cambridge UnitedDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 7.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.91%
2-0 @ 3.78% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-1 @ 1.93%
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 23.75%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 12.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.59%
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 4.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 50.86%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Port Vale

Cambridge United
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Port Vale
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Port Vale
0-1
Cambridge
O'Neil (85')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Cambridge
3-1
Port Vale
Mullin (3' pen., 51', 90+5')
May (84')
Robinson (18' pen.)
Apr 13, 2020 3pm
Cambridge
P-P
Port Vale
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Port Vale
1-0
Cambridge
Davies (84' og.)
Gibbons (79')

Taft (32'), O'Neil (53'), Roles (78')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Cambridge
1-0
Port Vale
Amoo (19')
Brown (60'), Carroll (66')

Kay (32'), Smith (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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