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Championship header 2

League One
MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Derby logo

MK Dons
1 - 3
Derby

Barry (41')
Harvie (45+1'), Lewington (46'), Dennis (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Roberts (43'), Collins (53'), Mendez-Laing (79')
Mendez-Laing (39'), Rooney (67'), Wildsmith (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
League One
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Derby (2-2 pen.)
Wednesday, November 9 at 8pm in EFL Cup

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Derby County

 Neither side are in great form coming into this clash, so we are expecting a closely-fought contest at Stadium MK. Derby know that a win could take them inside the playoff places and they will rightly be favourites here, but it would be foolish to underestimate their opponents despite their league position. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawDerby County
42.32% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 26.89% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 30.78% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.06% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.09% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)54.91% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.8% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)76.2% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)25.65% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)60.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.33%32.67% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)69.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 42.32%
    Derby County 30.78%
    Draw 26.89%
MK DonsDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 42.32%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 30.78%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Derby

MK Dons
11.1%
Draw
22.2%
Derby County
66.7%
9
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2016 3pm
Derby
0-1
MK Dons

Johnson (39'), Hendrick (72')
Forster-Caskey (82')
Maynard (45'), Carruthers (46')
Sep 26, 2015 12.30pm
MK Dons
1-3
Derby
> Match Report
Mar 4, 2000 3pm
Derby
4-0
MK Dons
Kinkladze (65'), Christie (71'), Burton (89'), Sturridge (90')
Sep 11, 1999 3pm
MK Dons
2-2
Derby
Euell (63'), Hartson (62')
Carbonari (14'), Johnson (81')
Jan 9, 1999 3pm
MK Dons
2-1
Derby
Roberts (83'), Euell (8')
Wanchope (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122
> League One Full Table


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