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League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Oxford Utd
0 - 1
Shrewsbury


Long (83'), Moore (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bowman (74')
Phillips (35'), Flanagan (55'), Shipley (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Barnsley
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Shrewsbury Town

Despite Shrewsbury not being able to get the better of Oxford in the last eight meetings between the sides, they are in much better form than their opponents on Saturday, so we think they will claim all three points. The sides shared the spoils in the reverse fixture back in November, but we think the Shrews can extend their winning streak here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
51.2% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 25.07% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 23.73% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (0.012 0.01)52.07% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (0.010000000000002 0.01)73.8% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66%20.34% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.27%52.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15% (0.018000000000001 0.02)36.85% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (0.018999999999998 0.02)73.64% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 51.19%
    Shrewsbury Town 23.73%
    Draw 25.07%
Oxford UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.5% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 51.19%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 23.73%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Shrewsbury

Oxford United
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Shrewsbury Town
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Shrewsbury
2-3
Oxford Utd
Pennington (16'), Vela (25')
Walker (62')
Lee (3'), Henry (68'), Agyei (85')
Agyei (90+6')
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Oxford Utd
4-1
Shrewsbury
Atkinson (13'), Lee (36'), Taylor (66'), Long (77')
Brannagan (74')
Chapman (51')
Vela (64'), Norburn (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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