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League One
Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Forest Green Rovers

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
Forest Green

Pyke (90+4'), Bowman (90+8')
Saydee (90+6'), Flanagan (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Garrick (18')
Godwin-Malife (2'), Bakayoko (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Forest Green
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 3-1 Forest Green Rovers

 Shrewsbury look destined to extend their winning streak to four games when they host Forest Green, whose last victory came all the way back on December 10. Given that Rovers have scored in five of their last six games, Shrewsbury could struggle to keep a clean sheet on Saturday, but the hosts are expected to outscore the visitors with ease. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawForest Green Rovers
46.11% (-0.394 -0.39) 25.72% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 28.17% (0.44 0.44)
Both teams to score 52.23% (0.443 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.56% (0.432 0.43)51.44% (-0.43 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.75% (0.376 0.38)73.25% (-0.372 -0.37)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)55.74% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.2% (0.569 0.57)32.79% (-0.565 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.64% (0.627 0.63)69.36% (-0.623 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 46.11%
    Forest Green Rovers 28.17%
    Draw 25.72%
Shrewsbury TownDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 10.97% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.24% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 46.11%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.31% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.071 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.094 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.055 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 28.17%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Forest Green

Shrewsbury Town
81.8%
Draw
0.0%
Forest Green Rovers
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Forest Green
0-2
Shrewsbury

O'Keeffe (44'), Stevenson (45+9'), McGee (72')
Pyke (10'), Shipley (48')
Bayliss (72'), Moore (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
> League One Full Table


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