Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol City 4-2 Birmingham
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Forest Green Rovers 0-2 Birmingham City
Neither side will enter this match in the best of form, but we are struggling to look past Birmingham when it comes to this third-round contest. The Blues will have superior quality across the pitch, and we are expecting the Championship outfit to progress to the next round of the competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Birmingham City |
45.62% ( 0.08) | 25.99% ( 0.05) | 28.39% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 51.53% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
