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Championship header 2

League One
Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Portsmouth

Plymouth
3 - 1
Portsmouth

Cosgrove (24'), Azaz (70'), Hardie (90+4')
Matete (73'), Butcher (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hackett-Fairchild (79')
Raggett (85'), Bishop (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-0 Plymouth
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Portsmouth

 Plymouth have been in impressive form at Home Park this season, and after winning 13 of their 14 home league games, we think they will edge out Portsmouth to claim a narrow victory on Saturday, Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPortsmouth
55.19% (-0.14 -0.14) 22.81% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 21.99% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 55.29% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.03% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)15.97% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.73% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)45.27% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.8% (0.107 0.11)34.2% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.1% (0.116 0.12)70.9% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 55.19%
    Portsmouth 21.99%
    Draw 22.81%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.62% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 55.19%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.81%
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 21.99%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Portsmouth

Plymouth Argyle
85.0%
Draw
10.0%
Portsmouth
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
2-2
Plymouth
Koroma (41'), Hackett-Fairchild (90+4')
Pack (43')
Raggett (74' og.), Ennis (79')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Plymouth
1-0
Portsmouth
Hardie (65')
Sessegnon (43'), Cooper (90+5')

Romeo (33'), Thompson (34')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Portsmouth
2-2
Plymouth
Brown (6'), Raggett (90+5')
Raggett (19'), Curtis (24'), Harness (32')
Hardie (48', 80')
Grant (4'), Edwards (32'), Houghton (45+1')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Portsmouth
2-2
Plymouth
Curtis (86'), Bolton (87')
Cannon (72'), Naylor (84')
Jephcott (71', 82')
Nov 16, 2020 7.45pm
Plymouth
2-2
Portsmouth
Raggett (11' og.), Opoku (78')
Opoku (71'), Reeves (85')
Marquis (63' pen.), Naylor (65')
Marquis (33'), Cannon (73'), Naylor (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020
> League One Full Table


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