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League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Sheff Weds
1 - 0
Plymouth

Paterson (7')
Byers (45+2'), Paterson (54'), Vaulks (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Edwards (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Plymouth 4-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Plymouth Argyle

 Both sides boast plenty of quality and find themselves in impressive runs of form, and they will also be keen to avoid a defeat which could be particularly harmful to their automatic promotion bid, leading us to see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 64.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawPlymouth Argyle
64.37% (-1.815 -1.82) 20.58% (0.904 0.9) 15.04% (0.91 0.91)
Both teams to score 49.64% (-0.668 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.5% (-2.089 -2.09)45.5% (2.088 2.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17% (-2.023 -2.02)67.83% (2.023 2.02)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.6% (-1.158 -1.16)13.4% (1.156 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.66% (-2.378 -2.38)40.34% (2.378 2.38)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.32% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)42.68% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.98% (-0.004999999999999 -0)79.02% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 64.36%
    Plymouth Argyle 15.04%
    Draw 20.58%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 11.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.52 0.52)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.74% (-0.328 -0.33)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.28 -0.28)
4-0 @ 3.89% (-0.347 -0.35)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.12 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.56% (-0.216 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.126 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 64.36%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.443 0.44)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.495 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 20.58%
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.42 0.42)
1-2 @ 4.17% (0.188 0.19)
0-2 @ 2.07% (0.179 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 15.04%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs Plymouth

Sheffield Wednesday
54.2%
Draw
25.0%
Plymouth Argyle
20.8%
24
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Plymouth
2-1
Sheff Weds
Hardie (3'), Cosgrove (90+1')
Edwards (41')
Palmer (7')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Sheff Weds
4-2
Plymouth
Sow (19'), Mendez-Laing (40'), Hutchinson (79'), Windass (84')
Luongo (56'), Hunt (88')
Randell (47'), Johnson (83' og.)
Broom (90+6')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Plymouth
3-0
Sheff Weds
Garrick (20', 67'), Hardie (36')

Brown (56'), Wildsmith (68')
Nov 7, 2021 12.15pm
First Round
Sheff Weds
0-0
Plymouth

Adeniran (47'), Wing (71')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
3-0
Sheff Weds
Edwards (7'), Scarr (40'), Law (90+7')
Houghton (80')

Hutchinson (25'), Byers (40'), Sow (55'), Gregory (80')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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