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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Oxford United |
43.8% ( -0.05) | 26.13% ( 0.02) | 30.07% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 52.05% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.81% ( -0.06) | 52.19% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.1% ( -0.05) | 73.9% ( 0.05) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.3% ( -0.05) | 23.7% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.18% ( -0.07) | 57.82% ( 0.07) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.22% ( -0) | 31.78% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.79% ( -0.01) | 68.21% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 43.8% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |