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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Oxford United

Exeter
2 - 4
Oxford Utd

Brown (65'), Cox (90+2')
Collins (11'), Sweeney (30'), Stansfield (69')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Brannagan (12'), Long (31'), Joseph (44', 54')
Brannagan (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 4-2 Exeter
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-1 Oxford United

Although Exeter lost their previous fixture against Charlton, Oxford are expected to be an easier opponent, who are lacking confidence at the moment. The attacking threat of the Exeter front line should be enough to win this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawOxford United
43.8% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 26.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 30.07% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.05% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.81% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)52.19% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.1% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)73.9% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)23.7% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18% (-0.07 -0.07)57.82% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)31.78% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)68.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 43.8%
    Oxford United 30.07%
    Draw 26.13%
Exeter CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 43.8%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.07%

How you voted: Exeter vs Oxford Utd

Exeter City
100%
Draw
0.0%
Oxford United
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2019 7pm
Exeter
0-0
Oxford Utd
Exeter win 3-0 on penalties

Tillson (30')

Mackie (61')
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
Exeter
1-4
Oxford Utd
Nicholls (77')
Tillson (45')
Dunkley (8'), Bowery (41', 59'), MacDonald (62')
Dec 26, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
3-0
Exeter
Lundstram (48'), Baldock (67'), Sercombe (90')
Dunkley (36'), MacDonald (42'), Baldock (43')

Nicholls (42'), Tillson (43'), Holmes (72'), Watkins (77')
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-2
Exeter
Hylton (18'), Roberts (92')
Davies (37'), Nicholls (88')
Noble (44')
Sep 13, 2014 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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