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Championship header 2

League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Oxford United

Cheltenham
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Street (34'), Goodwin (76')
Williams (48'), Bevan (72'), Pett (86'), Southwood (90+2')
Street (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thorniley (32'), Rodrigues (55'), Brannagan (72')
Rodrigues (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-2 Oxford United

 Cheltenham may have avoided defeat in their last three home league games, but we think that they will be edged out by an Oxford side that boasts best away record in the division after picking up 18 points from their eight away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawOxford United
21.23% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02) 23.06% (0.0010000000000012 0) 55.71% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.38% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)46.44% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28% (-0.029 -0.03)68.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.93% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)36.07% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.15% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)72.85% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)16.5% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.76% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)46.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 21.23%
    Oxford United 55.7%
    Draw 23.06%
Cheltenham TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 6.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 5.58% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.1% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-1 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 21.23%
1-1 @ 10.93%
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 10.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-2 @ 9.66% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.92%
0-3 @ 5.8% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.96%
0-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 55.7%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Oxford Utd

Cheltenham Town
10.0%
Draw
0.0%
Oxford United
90.0%
10
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> Preview
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> Preview
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May (68')
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Long (90+4')
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 Oxford Utd win 4-1 on penalties
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Brannagan (45')
Brannagan (36')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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