Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.